2011 years passed, in 2012 is coming, and to the inventory of China property market. So, what is worth some 2011 can place? 2012 what be worth to expect place?
Review the past 2011 years, the Chinese market basically available "limit" and "drop" two words to summarize. You see, the whole China property market is in "limit" in,MLB Jerseys&hats "limit credit" "limit outside" "price", and so on, from a city "limit" to two, three lines city, from the restrict clinch a deal to restrict clinch a deal the price, from limiting the suite loans to limit san-duo first suite loan, vary. In so many "limit" word after policy, China property market finally appeared the effect of regulation, the second half of house prices appeared more general decline, up many years of house prices is finally revealed obvious loose. According to relevant experts predict that China property market "inflection point" has appeared, the second half of 2011 or 2012 national there will be 20% to 50% of the house price declines, the room can afford the time is coming!
However, I am here to say a word a bit more rational words: don't say this round of real estate regulation can be reached the national 20% to 50% of the house price declines, even if house prices of people expected to adjust range of 20% to 50%, that also can not reach the national people can afford a commodity house conditions. This is not because commodity house to have everyone, it should not be a everyone can have.
Looking ahead to 2012, China property market can basically "the" and "stable" two words to summarize.
A, real estate regulation would not relax
In 2012 the China real estate control policy would not relax, this is a basic principle. Because after years of regulation, its effect also preliminary appear, more let can not have any loose. If policy loose, will make the regulation failed. So, will cause rebound again even rising house prices, is not the same as the real estate industry of the disaster, more will be the whole of China's economic woes.
Second, house prices have structural adjustment
In 2012, house prices have fall, but not "one size fits all" comprehensive falling, and not all the buildings will fall all city, and not all types all house prices will fall, and should be up some of the more city up some of the buildings too down,NFL Jerseys&hats should be structural adjustment and fell. House prices in the national statistical perspective, 2012 with an average annual price will have less than 5% fall. Although I don't like to use the national average house prices to express, but there is no ability to also have no way to other index instead.
Three, "limit" policy have the suitable fine-tuning
2012 control policy implementation process, will be more detailed and specific, will have a land of difference, there will be targeted to, can avoid a "one size fits all" approach. No matter be "the policy or "limit credit" policy or as long as a place where the trend of rising house prices have to strictly carry out control policy, as long as a local housing price falls too or is too much turnover shrinking then control policy to fine-tune. For example, recent live JianBu leaders say the first set of mortgage loans to support is one example.
Four, the real estate industry in stability will be put on hold
In 2012, the real estate industry is destined to be a memorable year, in the real estate industry will be in stability slowly forward, and should not be somebody puts forward to fight to suppress the even to clamp down on. In 2012, China's economy is in stability and development,NBA Jerseys&hats in stability think counsel, the real estate industry vice versa. After years after high growth, experience for many years after the macro-control, and experience the housing price after stabilised, experienced a sharp drop in the parts of the city house prices after China's real estate will be more mature, more stable, more rational, more market-oriented.
When, the real estate industry out of the "one size fits all" fetters, out of the qi qi geared up down, come out of the vicious circle of rises and falls, that will be a really healthy and stable, and it really is the Gospel of the common people.
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