2012年3月11日星期日

North land market is expected to collective winter "insomnia"

In 2011 the country's 130 city of land sell one's own things a total of 1.90523 trillion yuan in takeaway: guangzhou land and resources and the housing authority recently revealed data showed that in 2011, guangzhou the land grant fee income reached 47.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4% in the same period, but after compared of 64.6 billion yuan for the land transfer plan, guangzhou 2011 years of "achievement" did not amount to mark. Based on the data of land room canal disclosure, year 2011 guangzhou land transfer income reached 47.5 billion yuan RMB, a 4% increase over 2010, but if remove district of rose and nansha district, guangzhou the land transfer income increased by only 1%, or $31.66 billion. Public data show that after the 2011 year guangzhou for the land grant fee income plan is 64.6 billion yuan, including, guangzhou land leasing plan for at the corresponding level 50.25 billion yuan,cheap oakley sunglasses but with the regulation of thorough, the city of guangzhou will then the plan at the corresponding level down to 39.9 billion yuan. Beijing land consolidation reserve center data showed that in 2011, the annual Beijing the land grant fee for 105.514 billion yuan, up 2010 in 164.24 billion yuan reduce 58.726 billion yuan by as much as 35.8%. And the research institute of China index of the statistics show, Shanghai 2011 years the land grant fee is 126 billion yuan, among the first, but compared with 2010 a decrease of 16.7%. Only the shenzhen is relatively optimistic, the organisation data showed that, with the increase of supply, shenzhen last year's land transfer income from 2010 yuan increased to 19.24 billion yuan. The court of the middle finger detection, in 2011 the 130 cities of land sell one's own things a total of 1.90523 trillion yuan, up reduced by 11%. One residence kind land (including housing land and housing land contains a comprehensive land use) 1.26668 trillion yuan, up 23% reduction; Purpose of land and industrial land of respectively 24% and 43% year-on-year increase. Beijing land consolidation reserve center in January, 2012, clinch a deal with Beijing 20 Pope plot, obtain the land grant fee is 2.192 billion yuan, 64% year-on-year drop. Note that this 20 land all in reserve to conclude a deal. This is a rare disease in recent years. Beijing that year of the land grant fee income just force reached 100.66 billion yuan RMB. And in the last year's November 19, Beijing the land grant fee income has topped 100 billion yuan "mark", Beijing land leasing revenue that year a record achieved 164.2 billion yuan. Famous real estate economics experts, China's development research center, director of real estate XieYiFeng accept China's "the daily economic news news reporter interview: reporter: how do you see a line of urban land income gold and land market? XieYiFeng: in addition to shenzhen rises are relatively obvious and guangzhou small range increased the micro, others besides a line city is not optimistic. Beijing and Shanghai all appear the decline, the national land market also whole "winter". Reporter: what do you think of Beijing land market low clinchs a deal? XieYiFeng: in 20 cases of plot, 4 are Pope for business land, much to the business, finance and other as regards land is given priority to, take to enterprise, in addition to have "the jingdong mall" this well-known brand electric business outside, no one is the famous real estate developers. In January this year on New Year's day and the Spring Festival two vacation, much less working days, so the 2012 Beijing land market in the quiet start situation. In addition, more to consider long-term and severe macroeconomic regulation and control policy influence. At present the developers funds pressure great, the national housing industry has been winter yet, in this case, the developers generally thought of "cash is king", so give land enthusiasm greatly reduced. Reporter: did Beijing face the land financial pressure? XieYiFeng: continuous and severe housing market regulation by the influence of the "land financial", not only the Beijing. Including Shanghai, guangzhou, shenzhen, and hangzhou, the land grant fee income fell sharply are significantly. The story of the land premiums to the end, from the exchange for huge fiscal revenue on the simple model is unsustainable and reproduction. When all kinds of new industry began to replace simple become prime to Beijing, Shanghai etc of new growth path, house prices reasonable return, I finally have enough "economics reasons". Reporter: why the land grant fee reduced, and the reason is??????? XieYiFeng: volume reduce and clinch a deal unit price drop is residence kind land leasing reduce main reasons. In addition a layer of pressure from last year is relatively tight monetary and credit policy. As for the sixth time last year to raise deposit reserve rate, room enterprises financing channel further narrow, buy the land expansion and therefore err on the side of caution. Although a residence kind land transfer decrease, but still accounts for about 67% of the total amount that the real estate market of the largest share is the housing market,NFL Hats rather than the commercial market or security room market. Reporter: for this year's land market trends, how do you see? XieYiFeng: in the control policy to continue, at least in the first half of the year, the reserve price clinch a deal, small flow the beat and low premium will still is land market "theme", whether to thaw also will have to see whether the control policy will make adjustments. The local government has already feeling stressed, according to the previously released of Beijing municipal budget report and related materials, Beijing 2012 years of land transfer targets have been cut to 90 billion yuan. Once before in the second quarter of a line of urban land market still continue to slow, and land control in local government will make it difficult to implement, can appear even change of land control policy. Such as reducing the land transfer of prohibited or restricted conditions, or be to drop the purchase of land threshold, extend the land grant fee payment deadlines, staging points of wait for means, or adjust the land plot ratio and reduce starting price and free some land tax, or increase the land development value.

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