2012年2月28日星期二

The beijing-shanghai high iron is not the panacea

The beijing-shanghai high iron opening, natural become China of the development of regional economy a great thing. The investment of 220.9 billion's big MAC project, outside the three gorges project and coordination. No doubt, the beijing-shanghai high iron opening, it's easy to think of the eastern United States railway. New York-Washington article this along the railroad built-Philadelphia, contact the America of the political center and economic center, focus on the best American social and economic resources, greatly promote the development of the eastern United States along the railway and finally became the United States a very important economic belt. Similarly the beijing-shanghai high iron also focus on China's economic characteristic extremely long triangle of three second with two big economic circle: the bohai sea, also links the political center of Beijing and Shanghai economic center. Sure can promote the of China's GDP more than 40% of the area, further integration, and development. But for the beijing-shanghai high iron opening, also cannot too high expectations, to clearly see the beijing-shanghai high iron is not is panacea. This from these two years along the beijing-shanghai high iron city development can evidence. Beijing, Shanghai this two core cities, this years along with the economic structure adjustment,New Era Hats the economic growth rate dipped again and again, in 31 provinces in the development of the basic lower speed. And in the beijing-shanghai high iron along of cities, the common economic development not very fast. Although the beijing-shanghai high iron and not opening, may promote along the economy was not full play. But must see, jinghu high iron the opening of the time is expected. Which means, of the city along the beijing-shanghai high iron would have been using the concepts of investment promotion. For these cities in, investment promotion, the most important continues the industrial transfer, industrial project is the main force. And industrial projects is a cycle, means that if these projects beijing-shanghai high value of iron value of words, will advance into the construction, cooperate the beijing-shanghai high iron together after opening into the production stage. So, watch this years these city industrial investment growth can be used as a measure of beijing-shanghai high to these cities of iron value of a very important index. Then we select the beijing-shanghai high iron on the city along the several important, from its 2010 years of statistical bulletin perspective. We will find jinan GDP is 391 billion, up 12.7%, xuzhou GDP is 286.6 billion yuan, up 13.9%. Nanjing GDP is 501 billion yuan, up 13.1%. Jining GDP is 254.2 billion yuan, up 12.9%. GDP1362 zaozhuang one hundred million yuan, up 12.6%. From the city to see GDP growth, basically at below the average growth rate of the space. Especially a few cities in shandong province, more at very low growth. And industrial investment perspective, jinan industrial investment of 66.7 billion yuan, up 23.2%. Xuzhou industrial investment of 110.6 billion yuan, up 25.7%; Nanjing industrial investment finished 160.1 billion yuan, up 23.1%. Jining industrial investment is 73.8 billion yuan, up 26.2%, the second industry zaozhuang investment of RMB 40.8 billion, only 15.4% growth. These data, compared to the Midwest basically over 30%, even 40% of the industrial investment growth to see, is relatively low. This from a side show, the opening of the beijing-shanghai high iron did not change the whole China the new pattern of regional economic development. That is the beijing-shanghai high iron of the layout of the coastal areas, into the economic structure optimization phase, undertake industrial transfer main position is in the Midwest, and not is coastal areas, even in this area, the relative is not very developed zaozhuang, xuzhou and other regions. And in the beijing-shanghai high iron along the route, the only one to keep the high-speed development of the city of tianjin, more is to rely on the support of national policy, larger project investment maintained a high growth. Rather than by jinghu high iron bring opportunity. In fact, the reason the beijing-shanghai high iron construction and can't fundamentally change the trajectory of the regional economic development. Are the main reasons why the decision by several aspects: one is currently has entered the integrated traffic system era, high-speed railway is just one of a kind. And aviation, highway, railway, waterway and common way. Also means that only by a high iron, it is very difficult to greater level of change of the direction of the allocation of resources. 2 it is at present the layout of the high-speed railway not pure the beijing-shanghai high in iron, at present the country has been pushing the four horizontal high iron construction plan, had been in the national layout. Early in the beijing-shanghai high iron before they have opened wuhan-guangzhou high iron, zheng west high iron, means that the beijing-shanghai high iron is not high in iron rare resources, so lateral comparison beijing-shanghai high iron scarcity value greatly reduced. Three is high speed railway in saving time, but also in improving the cost of the trip. The cost of ascension that decided the beijing-shanghai high iron more from structure of air travel in Shanghai instead of the group, and for the dial of the people instead of, time advantage is not obvious, before flying from Shanghai to jinan time will not sit high iron than current time long, also means that the concept of time and space narrow and not expected. Four, the beijing-shanghai high iron opening, in part to bring the industrial transfer low-grade, to high-grade industries, especially the financial this kind of high-grade service industry,buy sunglasses it will bring along the city to siphon effect, will further increase the resources to Beijing, Shanghai gather strength. That existed before the city along some regional advantage loss instead. Such as jinan, nanjing may further become Beijing, Shanghai high-grade service industry of the radiation area, its economic heart instead of Beijing, Shanghai take away. Of course, for the opening of beijing-shanghai high iron is defined as the argument on the medicine is not everything, but the beijing-shanghai high iron must also or a dose of medicine. Or will to a certain extent, to promote China's coastal economy, especially long triangle circle and the development of the bohai economic circle. Only the development situation, that is about to see how these areas the beijing-shanghai high iron of the opening of the era, enhances strong points and avoid weaknesses, develop their comparative advantages, seize the opportunity, further large area of the overall strength.

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